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Cool & breezy Monday then rainy the rest of the week

Posted at 4:44 PM, Feb 17, 2019
and last updated 2019-02-18 00:02:20-05

Cold front is pushing through Acadiana this evening producing scattered light showers.

Here is the latest look at the radar:

 

Behind the front temperatures are dropping fast as lows will dip into the mid to upper 40s by Monday morning.

Chilly start to the new work and school week.

Winds will also be picking up tonight making it feel even colder with wind chills in the lower 40s Monday morning, so make sure you and the kids grab the heavier jacket.

Here is a look at the projected winds speeds for the next couple days.

 

After the chilly start we stay on the cool side as highs will struggle to reach the lower 60s but at least it will be dry with times of of sunshine possible during the morning before clouds return in the afternoon.

Below average temperatures expected Monday afternoon

Monday night into Tuesday morning a warm front will lift out of the Gulf and over Acadiana producing some scattered showers.

Hit or miss showers will be possible Tuesday but the heavy, more steady rains look like they will stay to our north for most of the day.

During the evening the front will begin to waffle back towards Acadiana increasing our rain chances and even sparking off a few thunderstorms with one or two maybe on the strong to severe side.

Showers and a even thunderstorms likely Tuesday evening

The Storm Prediction Center has placed most of Acadiana under a marginal risk(5%) for the possibility that we could see a severe storm with wind gusts up to 60 mph and inch size hail.

SPC has shaded in most of Acadiana for a marginal risk of severe storms Tuesday

Wednesday and Thursday the front will stall over the region creating high rain chances both days.

Front stalls over Acadiana producing a good chance for rain on and off throughout the day
More rains likely Thursday as stationary front remains draped over Acadiana

Friday the front finally gets a kick up to the north thanks to a steady southerly flow helping to lower the rain chances and push temperatures into the mid 70s.

With all the rain expected this week many spots will get a good soaking of 2-4 inches but most of the rain will be on the lighter side and we should only get about a half inch of rain each day so flooding will not be an issue and we could actually use some rain as it has been fairly dry the last few weeks.

Projected rainfall amounts over the next week. Heaviest rains look to stay to our north

Spring-like temperatures continue Saturday with highs topping out in the upper 70s.

The good news is rain chances have gone down for Saturday as models have backed off the timing of our next cold front until early Sunday morning meaning the forecast looks better for the Rio parade Saturday night.

Next cold front arrive early Sunday producing a few light showers

Once this next cold front clears the area Sunday morning skies should gradually clear and we might finally get a couple nice, sunny days to start the following week with near average temperatures in the mid 60s.