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One more warm day before cooler air returns

Posted: 4:54 PM, Feb 10, 2019
Updated: 2019-02-10 23:51:50-05

Thanks to a warm front lifting across the region today Spring-like temperatures returned with highs in the lower 70s.

Winds have also flipping out of the south in the wake of this warm front which will keep overnight lows on the mild side as we will only bottom out in the lower 60s.

However, because we have a southerly flow again pushing warm Gulf air over the relatively cooler shelf waters sea fog will develop later on tonight and move inland by Monday morning dropping visibility below a half a mile in many spots.

Here is a look at the latest visibility projections for tonight.

 

Mixed in with the fog a few stray showers/drizzle will be possible overnight into Monday morning, especially down towards St. Mary parish.

A few coastal showers/sprinkles possible late tonight

During the afternoon we will stay on the cloudy side but times of sunshine could peek through the clouds warming temperatures into the mid 70s.

Late Monday night into Tuesday is when the forecast starts to change again with the arrival of our next cold front.

The main front is forecasted to sweep through Acadiana during the early morning hours on Tuesday producing a line of scattered showers and storms between 2AM and 8AM.

Next cold front brings a line of showers and storms to Acadiana

Models have been consistent that we will not see too much rain with this system as many communities will pick up about a quarter to a half inch of rain but a couple isolated spots could see close to an inch of rain.

The other thing we will have to watch with this line of showers is the possibility for thunderstorms as well.

According to the Storm Prediction Center they have much of the ArkLaTex region under a marginal risk for storms to become severe with damaging wind gusts up to 60 mph as the main threat.

Areas to our north are under a marginal risk for severe storms Monday afternoon

The good news for us is the system looks like it will lose energy and weaken during the overnight hours which is when it is expected to move through Acadiana but a couple strong storms can not be ruled out.

Then Tuesday as the system begins to combine with the heating of the day out ahead of the front to our east towards New Orleans into southern Mississippi and Alabama causing the system to strength again the SPC also has those locations under a marginal risk for severe storms as well.

System will restrengthen Tuesday causing areas to our east to possibility see a few severe storms

Locally temperatures will fall into the mid 60s for highs behind the front on Tuesday before a secondary dry front moves across Acadiana during the afternoon/evening causing much cooler air to filter down dropping lows into the upper 30s to lower 40s by Wednesday morning.

Winds will also pick up out of the north at 10-18 mph making it feel even cooler Tuesday afternoon.

Wednesday high pressure quickly scoots to the east so temperatures get back to near normal during the afternoon in the mid 60s, so this cool down will not be as cold as this past Friday and will only last about 24 hours.

For Valentine’s Day the forecast is improving with most of the models keeping Acadiana on the drier side but still lots of clouds around with temperatures topping out in the lower 70s and only dropping a few degrees during the evening.

Friday will be another warm day with highs in the lower 70s before a dry cold front swings through during the afternoon bringing another shot of cooler air for the weekend.

Lows Saturday morning will dip down into the upper 30s and lower 40s with highs struggling to warm to near 60 during the afternoon.

Sunday will be a little warmer as we get back to normal temperatures for mid February in the mid 60s.

Although it will be on the cool side we should be dry next weekend with a fair amount of sunshine making it feel a little nicer.